Final
Final
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles
22 – 24
PHI -1.5 —Total 46.5 —
Biggest swing↑ 10.0(Q2 7:30 → Q4 10:00)
Spread
Current: -1.5Open: -5.5Final Result: -2.0
WAS22—PHI24
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles · Sep 13, 2026
What happened relative to the locked Pregame baseline (bucket −1 CLOSE)?
| Market | Pregame | In-game Hi | In-game Lo | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread PHI perspective (home / pregame favorite) | PHI -5.5 | PHI -1.5 | PHI -14.5 | Washington Commanders covered |
| Total | 44.5 | 47.5 | 36.5 | Over |
How the spread, total, and moneyline markets behaved.
Philadelphia Eagles won, Washington Commanders covered. Philadelphia Eagles entered as a 5.5-point favorite but won by only 2. The PHI live spread ranged from -14.5 to -1.5. Across tracked live market time, WAS was on the eventual covering side for 92%, while PHI was on the covering side for 8%.
The game played to the Over. The pregame total was 44.5 and the teams combined for 46. The live total ranged from 36.5 to 47.5. The prevailing live number ultimately produced an Over result for 96% of tracked time.
Moneyline implied probabilities moved during the game. PHI entered at 72.2% implied probability, reached a low of 65.3%, and a high of 99.8%. WAS entered at 31.7%, reached a high of 40.7%, and a low of 2.4%. Philadelphia Eagles ultimately won.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing spread would ultimately have resulted in a Philadelphia cover, Washington cover, or push against the final scoring margin.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing total would ultimately have resulted in an Over, Under, or Push against the final combined score.
Current NFL Beta strategies — qualification, trigger, and stored result.
0 strategies qualified · 0 triggered
| Strategy | Qualified | Triggered | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_big_favorite_inflation_fade | No | — | — | — |
| spread_low_total_favorite_buyback | No | — | — | — |
| total_low_total_scoring_spike_under | No | — | — | — |
| total_strong_favorite_compression_over | No | — | — | — |
Where the live market may have moved farther than the available game evidence justified.
No high-confidence market overreaction identified from the currently available game evidence.
Frozen Live-style market view. Interactive replay lives on Live.
Open Live for scrubbing, strategy overlays, and Writer Notes.
Completed possessions with drive grades and market during drive.
Drive data unavailable.
Detailed play-by-play was unavailable. Turnover, red-zone and drive-quality conclusions were not generated.
Scrub the full Spread, Total, and Moneyline charts with game events and strategy markers.
Open Live Replay