Final
Final
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
22 – 39
MIN -16.5 —Total 61.5 —
Biggest swing↓ 28.0(Q2 12:30 → Q4 5:00)
Spread
Current: -16.5Open: -2.5Final Result: -17.0
GB22—MIN39
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings · Sep 13, 2026
What happened relative to the locked Pregame baseline (bucket −1 CLOSE)?
| Market | Pregame | In-game Hi | In-game Lo | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread MIN perspective (home / pregame favorite) | MIN -2.5 | MIN +14.5 | MIN -16.5 | Minnesota Vikings covered |
| Total | 45.5 | 67.5 | 39.5 | Over |
How the spread, total, and moneyline markets behaved.
Minnesota Vikings won, Minnesota Vikings covered. Minnesota Vikings entered as a 2.5-point favorite but won by only 17. The MIN live spread ranged from -16.5 to +14.5. Across tracked live market time, GB was on the eventual covering side for 0%, while MIN was on the covering side for 100%.
The game played to the Over. The pregame total was 45.5 and the teams combined for 61. The live total ranged from 39.5 to 67.5. The prevailing live number ultimately produced an Over result for 92% of tracked time.
The game became competitive in implied win probability. MIN entered at 57.3% implied probability, reached a low of 10.3%, and a high of 99.9%. GB entered at 46.7%, reached a high of 95.7%, and a low of 1.0%. Minnesota Vikings ultimately won.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing spread would ultimately have resulted in a Minnesota cover, Green Bay cover, or push against the final scoring margin.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing total would ultimately have resulted in an Over, Under, or Push against the final combined score.
Current NFL Beta strategies — qualification, trigger, and stored result.
0 strategies qualified · 0 triggered
| Strategy | Qualified | Triggered | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_big_favorite_inflation_fade | No | — | — | — |
| spread_low_total_favorite_buyback | No | — | — | — |
| total_low_total_scoring_spike_under | No | — | — | — |
| total_strong_favorite_compression_over | No | — | — | — |
Where the live market may have moved farther than the available game evidence justified.
No high-confidence market overreaction identified from the currently available game evidence.
Frozen Live-style market view. Interactive replay lives on Live.
Open Live for scrubbing, strategy overlays, and Writer Notes.
Completed possessions with drive grades and market during drive.
Drive data unavailable.
Detailed play-by-play was unavailable. Turnover, red-zone and drive-quality conclusions were not generated.
Scrub the full Spread, Total, and Moneyline charts with game events and strategy markers.
Open Live Replay