Final
Final
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers
59 – 37
CAR +21.5 —Total 96.5 —
Biggest swing↑ 19.0(Q2 10:00 → Q4 5:00)
Spread
Current: 21.5Open: 3.0Final Result: 22.0
CHI59—CAR37
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers · Sep 13, 2026
What happened relative to the locked Pregame baseline (bucket −1 CLOSE)?
| Market | Pregame | In-game Hi | In-game Lo | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread CHI perspective (away / pregame favorite) | CHI -3.0 | CHI -1.5 | CHI -21.5 | Chicago Bears covered |
| Total | 46.5 | 96.5 | 46.5 | Over |
How the spread, total, and moneyline markets behaved.
Chicago Bears won, Chicago Bears covered. Chicago Bears entered as a 3.0-point favorite but won by only 22. The CAR live spread ranged from -21.5 to -1.5. Across tracked live market time, CHI was on the eventual covering side for 100%, while CAR was on the covering side for 0%.
The game played to the Over. The pregame total was 46.5 and the teams combined for 96. The live total ranged from 46.5 to 96.5. The prevailing live number ultimately produced an Over result for 92% of tracked time.
The game became competitive in implied win probability. CAR entered at 42.4% implied probability, reached a low of 1.0%, and a high of 45.9%. CHI entered at 61.8%, reached a high of 99.9%, and a low of 60.0%. Chicago Bears ultimately won.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing spread would ultimately have resulted in a Carolina cover, Chicago cover, or push against the final scoring margin.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing total would ultimately have resulted in an Over, Under, or Push against the final combined score.
Current NFL Beta strategies — qualification, trigger, and stored result.
0 strategies qualified · 0 triggered
| Strategy | Qualified | Triggered | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_big_favorite_inflation_fade | No | — | — | — |
| spread_low_total_favorite_buyback | No | — | — | — |
| total_low_total_scoring_spike_under | No | — | — | — |
| total_strong_favorite_compression_over | No | — | — | — |
Where the live market may have moved farther than the available game evidence justified.
No high-confidence market overreaction identified from the currently available game evidence.
Frozen Live-style market view. Interactive replay lives on Live.
Open Live for scrubbing, strategy overlays, and Writer Notes.
Completed possessions with drive grades and market during drive.
Drive data unavailable.
Detailed play-by-play was unavailable. Turnover, red-zone and drive-quality conclusions were not generated.
Scrub the full Spread, Total, and Moneyline charts with game events and strategy markers.
Open Live Replay