NYJ23—TEN10
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans · Sep 13, 2026
What happened relative to the locked Pregame baseline (bucket −1 CLOSE)?
| Market | Pregame | In-game Hi | In-game Lo | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread TEN perspective (home / pregame favorite) | TEN -1.5 | TEN +19.5 | TEN -1.5 | New York Jets covered |
| Total | 39.5 | 43.5 | 26.5 | Under |
How the spread, total, and moneyline markets behaved.
New York Jets won, New York Jets covered. Tennessee Titans entered as a 1.5-point favorite. The TEN live spread ranged from -1.5 to +19.5. Across tracked live market time, NYJ was on the eventual covering side for 58%, while TEN was on the covering side for 42%.
The game played to the Under. The pregame total was 39.5 and the teams combined for 33. The live total ranged from 26.5 to 43.5. The prevailing live number ultimately produced an Under result for 67% of tracked time.
The game became competitive in implied win probability. TEN entered at 54.1% implied probability, reached a low of 7.7%, and a high of 48.3%. NYJ entered at 50.0%, reached a high of 99.0%, and a low of 58.2%. New York Jets ultimately won.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing spread would ultimately have resulted in a Tennessee cover, New York cover, or push against the final scoring margin.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing total would ultimately have resulted in an Over, Under, or Push against the final combined score.
Current NFL Beta strategies — qualification, trigger, and stored result.
0 strategies qualified · 0 triggered
| Strategy | Qualified | Triggered | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_big_favorite_inflation_fade | No | — | — | — |
| spread_low_total_favorite_buyback | No | — | — | — |
| total_low_total_scoring_spike_under | No | — | — | — |
| total_strong_favorite_compression_over | No | — | — | — |
Where the live market may have moved farther than the available game evidence justified.
No high-confidence market overreaction identified from the currently available game evidence.
Frozen Live-style market view. Interactive replay lives on Live.
Open Live for scrubbing, strategy overlays, and Writer Notes.
Completed possessions with drive grades and market during drive.
Drive data unavailable.
Detailed play-by-play was unavailable. Turnover, red-zone and drive-quality conclusions were not generated.
Scrub the full Spread, Total, and Moneyline charts with game events and strategy markers.
Open Live Replay